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The Road Not Taken: What Russia Could Have Become

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How Land Value Tax and Natural Resource Rents Could Have Built the Most Prosperous Nation on Earth, and Why the Failure to Adopt Them Gave Us Putin Instead The inspiration for this essay stems from a meme shared by  R. Pettersson.  It addresses a subject I have explored extensively in conversations with my mentor, Fred Harrison   In the autumn of 1990, as the Soviet Union was entering its final convulsions, two economists flew to Moscow carrying an idea that was, in every meaningful sense, perfectly timed. Fred Harrison and Professor Mason Gaffney, both working in the tradition of Henry George, had been invited to advise the reformers around Mikhail Gorbachev on the shape of the new economic order that would replace Soviet central planning. They carried with them a proposal that was elegant in its simplicity and radical in its implications: instead of privatising Russia’s vast natural resources and land, the new Russian state should retain ownership of those assets in...

The Cassandra of Capitalism: Fred Harrison, Georgist Economics, and the Curse of Being Right

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On the prophets who saw every crash coming and were ignored every single time There is a torment reserved for those who are not merely correct, but provably, demonstrably, repeatedly correct and still cannot make anyone listen. The ancient Greeks had a name for it. They gave it a face: Cassandra, daughter of King Priam of Troy, blessed by Apollo with the gift of true prophecy and cursed, when she spurned him, never to be believed. She saw the wooden horse for what it was. She screamed her warnings from the walls. The soldiers filed past her, laughing. Troy burned. You have to hand it to the Greeks. They understood the world.   Across the sweep of modern economic history, there is a figure who inhabits the same suffocating position. His name is Fred Harrison. He is a British author, economist, and Research Director of the Land Research Trust. He has been predicting house price crashes with extraordinary precision for four decades. He warned of the early 1990s recession bef...