THE ‘WOKE’ RENT COLLECTORS
How Green and Rainbow Capitalism Betrays the Poor, Corrupts Progressive Politics, and Leaves a Dispossessed Generation Angry at the Movement That Was Supposed to Be on Their Side
This essay advances a single, uncomfortable proposition: that the progressive social movements of the last century (women’s liberation, gay rights, environmentalism, multiculturalism and biodiversity protection) have been systematically co-opted by those whose primary interest is not human flourishing but the extraction of economic rent.
Reforms that would return economic rent to the people who create it are blocked, diluted, or reversed. Reforms that redistribute nothing but the language of progress and the symbols of diverse identity sail through. The result is not a ‘progressivism’ that liberates all, but one that makes the poor poorer and the rich richer, and a population that feels the injustice without yet having a name for its cause. In poor communities, progressivism is no longer associated with wages, housing, or security. It is associated with the priorities of people who already have those things. That distinction is doing enormous damage, creating a dangerous rejection of progressivism by poor communities and the dispossessed young. Societies that extract without limit and reform without economic substance do not drift peacefully into decline. They break.
The argument proceeds as follows. Economic rent (the
unearned surplus extracted from land, monopoly, intellectual property, and
financial position) has grown as a share of economic output across the
developed world and with accelerating force since the 1980s. Democratic
governments, whatever their stated mandates, are principally organised around
the protection and facilitation of this extraction. Social change, where it
occurs, tends to occur when it serves that extractive interest or when the cost
of suppressing it outweighs the rent foregone.
Women entering the paid workforce expanded the rentable
labour pool and the consumer market. The normalisation of gay identity created
new premium consumption niches. Environmental policy, particularly since the
1990s, has been increasingly structured around the creation of tradeable
instruments (carbon credits, biodiversity net gain units, ecosystem service
payments) that generate rent for landowners, financial intermediaries, and
corporate platforms while doing little or nothing to arrest ecological collapse.
The lower classes are impoverished by these processes, with lower wages and
higher living costs. This economic reality has not been adequately described
and lies behind the disillusionment and cultural backlash. It is not just
prejudice, but economic force, driving people into the arms of populist
politicians determined to drive back progressive reforms. We have watched each
successive wave of liberation politics produce a society in which land,
housing, and essential services cost more, wages purchase less, and the
political class speaks the language of diversity while implementing the
economics of extraction, impoverishing working people.
PART ONE
The Architecture of Economic Rent
What Is Economic Rent, and Why Does It Matter?
The concept of economic rent is among the most important and
most systematically ignored ideas in mainstream economics. In classical
political economy, the tradition running from Adam Smith through David Ricardo
and John Stuart Mill to Henry George, rent referred to the surplus income
accruing to the owner of a factor of production not because of any productive
contribution by that owner, but solely by virtue of their ownership of
something scarce or monopolised.
Ricardo’s original formulation concerned agricultural land.
The most fertile land produces a surplus over the cost of cultivation; that
surplus is captured by the landlord as rent. As population grows and less
fertile land is brought into cultivation, the rent on good land rises, not
because landlords work harder or invest more wisely, but simply because demand
for scarce land has increased. The landlord is, in Ricardo’s phrase, paid for
what the earth does, not what capital and labour do.
Henry George, writing in 1879 in Progress and Poverty,
extended this observation into a comprehensive theory of capitalist inequality.
George argued that as society progressed and productive capacity expanded, the
gains flowed disproportionately to landowners. Rising productivity raised wages
briefly, but higher wages drew more workers and drove up land values; the
rentier captured the surplus that labour and capital had jointly created.
George’s proposed remedy, a single tax on land values, was regarded as
dangerously radical and was successfully suppressed by the very interests it
threatened. His analytical framework was not refuted. It was simply excluded
from the curriculum.
“The great cause of inequality in the distribution of
wealth is inequality in the ownership of land. The ownership of land is the
great fundamental fact which ultimately determines the social, the political,
and consequently the intellectual and moral condition of a people.” (Henry
George, Progress and Poverty, 1879)
In the twentieth century, the concept of economic rent was
broadened beyond land. Monopoly rents accrue to firms that face no competition,
whether natural monopolies like utilities, or artificial monopolies created by
patents, regulatory capture, or network effects. Financial rents arise from the
ability of banks and financial intermediaries to create money and collect
interest on assets they did not produce. Platform rents are extracted by
digital intermediaries (search engines, social networks, e-commerce platforms)
that position themselves as the indispensable infrastructure of modern commerce
and collect a toll on every transaction. Resource rents arise from the
ownership of mineral deposits, spectrum rights, fishing quotas, and other
natural endowments whose value is created by society, not by the owner.
The common thread is this: economic rent is income derived
from ownership of position rather than from productive activity. A surgeon
earns wages from skill and labour. A landlord who buys a house and lets it out
earns rent from the scarcity of land and the productive activity of the city
that surrounds it. A pharmaceutical company that patents a molecule discovered
by publicly funded research earns monopoly rent from an intellectual property
regime enforced by the state. An investment bank that borrows at near-zero
central bank rates and lends to households at commercial rates extracts a
financial rent underwritten by public monetary policy.
Estimating Economic Rent: A Century of Extraction
Comprehensive national accounts of economic rent do not
exist, because mainstream economics has largely abandoned the classical
distinction between earned and unearned income. The following estimates are
constructed from land value data, corporate profit share analysis, financial
sector size, and research by heterodox economists including Michael Hudson,
Josh Ryan-Collins, and the work of the McKinsey Global Institute on corporate
economic profit. These are orders of magnitude rather than precise figures, but
the directional story is unambiguous.
Figure 1: Estimated Economic Rent as Share of GDP: United
Kingdom, 1920-2020
The data tell a story of two economies. From the 1940s to
the 1970s, the share of output captured as economic rent was compressed by war,
reconstruction, rent controls, progressive taxation, trade union power, and a
financial sector constrained by capital controls and regulation. Real wages
rose, housing was affordable relative to income, and the distribution of income
between labour and capital was, by historical standards, compressed.
From the 1980s, the story reverses. Financial deregulation,
the abolition of exchange controls, the systematic weakening of trade unions,
the privatisation of public utilities, the relaxation of planning controls
(which perversely drove land values higher rather than lower), and the
political suppression of land value taxation all combined to accelerate rent
extraction. By the 2010s, UK residential land alone was worth approximately 5.5
times annual GDP. The annual rental value of that land (what economists call
imputed rent) was of the order of 10-12 per cent of GDP, more than the entire
NHS budget.
Figure 2: Components of Estimated Economic Rent, UK c.
2020
Two features of this table deserve emphasis. First, the
scale. If these estimates are in the right ballpark, approximately a third of
the British economy does not compensate productive activity; it compensates
ownership. Second, the entry at the bottom of the table: environmental
instruments. These are still small in absolute terms, but they are growing with
exceptional speed, backed by government mandate, corporate ESG budgets, and
financial sector enthusiasm. The political economy of why this enthusiasm exists
is the central subject of Part Three.
The Structural Relationship Between Rent and Democratic
Politics
A standard account of democratic politics holds that
governments pursue the preferences of median voters, moderated by
constitutional constraints and the need to maintain economic stability. This
account is insufficient. A more accurate model, supported by empirical
political science from Gilens and Page’s landmark 2014 study in the United
States to British work on lobbying and policy outcomes, is that democratic
governments predominantly implement the preferences of economic elites and
organised interest groups, with majority preferences having near-zero
independent influence on policy outcomes.
This is not because politicians are unusually corrupt,
though some are. It is structural. Political parties require funding.
Regulation requires expert input, which is disproportionately provided by the
regulated industries. Media ownership is concentrated among those with
substantial rentier interests. The revolving door between public service and
the private sector means that regulators and legislators internalise the
worldview of those they are supposed to oversee. And the complexity of modern
government means that genuinely independent policy analysis is scarce.
The consequence is that policies which generate or protect
economic rent are systematically favoured over policies which would reduce it.
Land value tax, which would transfer rent from landowners to the public, has
been discussed and rejected repeatedly since Lloyd George’s People’s Budget of
1909. The financial transactions tax, which would reduce the profitability of
high-frequency trading and other purely extractive financial activities, has
been blocked for decades despite broad popular support.
Conversely, policies that create new rent-extracting
opportunities enjoy remarkably smooth political passage. The Private Finance
Initiative, which handed long-term rent streams to financial investors in
exchange for upfront capital, was embraced across party lines. The
privatisation of utilities in the 1980s and 1990s converted public monopolies
into private rent streams with minimal public debate. The intellectual property
expansions of the 1990s and 2000s extended the duration and scope of patent and
copyright protection in ways that primarily benefited large corporations and
created almost no new innovation incentive. And, as this essay will argue, the
architecture of carbon and biodiversity markets has been designed from the
outset with rent extraction as its animating logic.
PART TWO
War, Technology, and the Productivity Imperative
Technology and the Expansion of the Rentable Workforce
If war provides the shock that forces rapid social change,
technology provides the gradual underlying pressure. The key mechanism is
simple: technology raises the productive output of each worker, increasing the
surplus available for extraction as economic rent. But it does so unevenly, and
the way it does so matters enormously for who captures the gains.
Labour-saving technology in agriculture drove rural workers
into cities from the sixteenth century onwards. This urbanisation was a
catastrophe for those it displaced, but it created the dense, geographically
concentrated labour force that made industrial capitalism possible and drove up
the rental value of urban land. The enclosures of common land, which ran from
the sixteenth to the nineteenth century, were simultaneously a technological
rationalisation of agricultural production and a naked transfer of economic
rent from common right to private landlord.
The contraceptive pill, available in the UK from 1961, was a
technology that genuinely transformed the terms on which women could
participate in the paid workforce. By decoupling heterosexual activity from
reproduction, the pill made it possible for women to pursue careers with the
kind of continuity that had previously been available only to men. The economic
implications were enormous: the effective labour supply roughly doubled over
the subsequent three decades. Standard economic theory would predict that this
would depress wages (more workers competing for jobs) while enriching
landowners (more workers requiring housing). That is broadly what happened.
The internet and the digital economy have produced a similar
dynamic. Platform technologies (Uber, Amazon, Deliveroo, Airbnb, and their
successors) have expanded the proportion of the population whose labour is
formally commodified while simultaneously compressing the wages and conditions
available to those workers. The platform extracts rent from the transaction;
the worker receives the residual. The gig economy is not a disruption of the
rent-extracting economy; it is its fullest expression.
The Female Labour Force and the Housing Crisis
There is a relationship that is almost never discussed in
mainstream accounts of feminism and economic progress: the entry of women into
the workforce in large numbers, from the 1960s onwards, was a major driver of
house price inflation. This is not a criticism of women entering the workforce;
it is an observation about the structural consequences of a large increase in
household income without a corresponding increase in the supply of land.
In 1970, the average UK house cost approximately three times
average annual earnings. By 2023, it costs approximately nine times average
annual earnings. Much of this increase reflects the capitalisation of
dual-income households into land values. When two earners could compete for
housing where previously one could, the surplus purchasing power did not create
better housing; it flowed to landowners in the form of higher land prices. The
liberation of women from domestic labour thus had an ironic structural
consequence: it enriched the landed class while making it progressively harder
for working families of any composition to afford decent housing.
This is not an argument against women’s liberation. It is an
argument that women’s liberation, implemented in the absence of land value
reform, was systematically captured by rentiers. The gains in productive
capacity and personal autonomy were real, but the economic surplus those gains
created was extracted by those who owned the sites on which the newly liberated
workers had to live, shop, and work.
PART THREE
The Progressive Movements and Their Capture
Class, Labour, and the Permanent Workforce
There is a filter on progressive politics that nobody in
progressive politics wants to discuss. The movements that have attracted the
most attention, the most funding, and the most political traction over the past
half-century have been those that speak to the condition of the educated middle
class: equal access to professional careers, recognition of sexual identity,
the right to live openly as one chooses. These are genuine goods. But they are
goods whose value is greatest to people who are already economically secure,
people who have the luxury of caring about the ceiling because the floor
beneath them is not about to give way.
Below that filter, the issues that affect the majority most
directly, homelessness, child poverty, the slow collapse of affordable housing,
the erosion of everything that makes a working life bearable, have not merely
been deprioritised. They have been getting worse, year after year, throughout
the same period that progressive politics congratulated itself on its expanding
compassion. The filter does not just select which problems get attention. It
selects which problems get solved. And the problems that get solved are, with
remarkable consistency, the ones that enhance the unearned income of our
rentier class.
Working-class women in 1960 were not primarily frustrated by
glass ceilings. They were frustrated by poverty wages, dangerous working
conditions, inadequate housing, lack of healthcare, and an educational system
that wrote off the majority of children at eleven.
It is worth being blunt about a historical fact that the
progressive narrative tends to elide: the working class has always worked. The
male breadwinner model that second-wave feminism critiqued was itself a
relatively recent historical phenomenon, and one that was always more
characteristic of the skilled working class and lower middle class than of the
unskilled labouring poor. Women who worked were not beneficiaries of
patriarchal protection. They were workers, and often dreamed of greater leisure
time to care for children and family.
The liberation movements of the 1960s and 1970s were, in
significant part, the liberation of a newly educated middle class from social
restrictions that the working class had never had the luxury of being
constrained by. The working-class woman could not be a housewife because she
could not afford to be.
What has changed in the fifty years since? The middle class,
broadly defined as those in professional and managerial occupations, with
university degrees and sufficient income to own property, has expanded,
diversified, and become genuinely more inclusive. It now contains more women,
more openly gay people, and more people of colour than it did in 1970. This is
progress. But it is progress that has been achieved at least partly by drawing
the cream of previously excluded groups into a class whose position depends on
the continued extraction of economic rent from the majority below them.
Meanwhile, the working class (those who depend on wages
rather than ownership, who rent rather than own, who consume services rather
than sell them) has not been liberated. It has been impoverished. Real wages
for the bottom quintile have barely risen in forty years. Housing costs have
consumed an ever-larger share of working-class income. Public transport, social
care, and legal aid have been cut to the point where access to justice,
mobility, and old age security are increasingly determined by wealth rather
than citizenship. The progressive movements that promised liberation have, in
their institutionalised form, delivered inclusion into a hierarchy whose
foundations they have not challenged.
Figure 3: UK Real Wage Growth vs. Land Value Growth,
Selected Periods
PART FOUR
Green Capitalism: The Rentierisation of the Environment
The Genuine Environmental Crisis
Any honest account of environmental policy must start with
the natural world, because the capture of that policy by rent-seeking interests
only makes sense against the background of a genuine and worsening ecological
emergency. The crisis is not manufactured. It is real, it is severe, and it
threatens everything. But a threatened world is also a world of opportunity for
those positioned to profit from the response. The public’s entirely legitimate
fear for their children’s future has been turned into a financial instrument.
That is not neglect. That is the deliberate conversion of human fear into
private profit, and it is the greatest theft ever committed in plain sight.
Biodiversity loss is the most acute and least discussed of
the global environmental crises. The Living Planet Index, compiled by the
Zoological Society of London and WWF, tracks populations of vertebrate species
globally. Between 1970 and 2020, it recorded an average decline of 69 per cent.
This is not a marginal adjustment in species composition; it is a collapse. The
primary drivers are habitat loss (driven overwhelmingly by agricultural
expansion), overexploitation (fishing, hunting, logging), pollution, invasive
species, and climate change.
In the United Kingdom specifically, the State of Nature
reports published since 2013 have documented a country that has lost more of
its natural environment than almost any other in the developed world. Britain
now ranks among the most nature-depleted nations on earth, below the global
average for biodiversity intactness. Fifteen per cent of species are threatened
with extinction. Farmland bird populations have fallen by more than half since
1970. Ancient woodland now covers less than 2.5 per cent of the land area, down
from approximately 50 per cent in Mesolithic times and 15 per cent in 1086.
Climate change, driven by greenhouse gas emissions, is both
a cause of biodiversity loss and an independent catastrophe in its own right.
The physics are not in serious dispute: carbon dioxide and methane in the
atmosphere trap heat; human industrial activity has raised atmospheric carbon
dioxide from approximately 280 parts per million before the Industrial
Revolution to over 420 parts per million today; the consequences include rising
average temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, more frequent extreme
weather events, and ocean acidification.
These crises require responses of proportionate scale and
seriousness. The question this essay addresses is whether the policy responses
that have been developed, and particularly the market-based mechanisms that
have attracted the most political and financial support, have been hijacked by
rent-seeking interests.
Carbon Markets: The Architecture of Inaction
The concept of carbon trading was first developed in an
American regulatory context, applied to sulphur dioxide emissions in the 1990
Clean Air Act Amendments. Emissions trading, or cap and trade, was
theoretically elegant: set a total cap on emissions, issue tradeable permits up
to that cap, and let the market find the lowest-cost means of achieving the
reduction. Firms that could reduce emissions cheaply would do so and sell their
surplus permits; firms facing high abatement costs would buy permits. The aggregate
result would be the required reduction at minimum economic cost.
The application of this logic to carbon dioxide was
advocated primarily by economists and was adopted as the centrepiece of
European climate policy through the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), launched
in 2005. The voluntary carbon market, in which companies and individuals
purchase credits representing emission reductions or carbon removals to offset
their own emissions, developed in parallel as a mechanism for firms that were
not covered by mandatory trading schemes to make climate commitments.
The theoretical elegance of carbon trading has not survived
contact with political reality. The EU ETS was initially undermined by the
over-allocation of free permits to industrial incumbents, a concession
extracted by the very industries the scheme was supposed to regulate. Carbon
prices collapsed in the early years, providing no meaningful incentive for
decarbonisation. The scheme was reformed, but the initial allocation of permits
was effectively a transfer of billions of euros from consumers (via higher
energy prices) to industrial landowners and utilities that had received permits
for free.
The voluntary carbon market has been more thoroughly
discredited. A series of investigative reports, most comprehensively by The
Guardian in 2023, found that the majority of rainforest offset credits approved
by Verra, the largest carbon standard, had no basis in actual emission
reductions. A 2023 study published in Science found that voluntary forest
carbon credits claiming to prevent deforestation in Brazil, Zimbabwe, and Peru
had, in the vast majority of cases, prevented no deforestation at all. The forests
that were supposedly at risk were not, in fact, being deforested; the credits
claimed avoided emissions that would never have occurred.
The value of the voluntary carbon market peaked at
approximately 2 billion dollars in 2021. Much of this value was extracted by
project developers, standard-setting organisations, verification bodies,
brokers, and financial intermediaries. The forests themselves, and more
importantly the people who live in and depend on them, received a small
fraction of the nominal value. The communities whose land was enrolled in
carbon offset schemes frequently reported loss of access to forest resources,
eviction from traditional territories, and the imposition of conservation rules
that benefited distant asset managers rather than local people.
“Carbon offsetting is not a solution to climate change.
It is a financial instrument designed to allow those who generate emissions to
continue generating them while directing a small portion of the proceeds to
activities that may or may not absorb carbon, in amounts that cannot be
reliably verified, over timescales that are inherently uncertain.” Adapted from
Kevin Anderson, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
The political economy of carbon markets is straightforward
once the rent lens is applied. Carbon markets create a new form of rent: the
right to emit, or the right to absorb. Landowners with forests, peatlands, or
degraded land suitable for tree-planting can convert their land into a
rent-generating asset by selling carbon credits. Financial intermediaries can
create structured products around aggregated carbon credit portfolios.
Consultancies can charge for the complex verification processes that no one else
fully understands. Rating agencies can charge for carbon credit quality
assessment. The entire architecture generates fees, spreads, and margins at
every node, just as a complex financial instrument generates rent for every
intermediary in the chain.
Meanwhile, the policy question that would actually address
climate change, namely a sufficiently high and universally applied carbon price
that makes fossil fuel combustion uneconomic, remains politically impossible,
because it would genuinely impose costs on fossil fuel producers and their
investors. The voluntary carbon market is not an alternative to that policy; it
is a substitute that makes the real policy less urgent by creating the illusion
of action.
Biodiversity Net Gain: Green Finance and the Land Grab
Biodiversity Net Gain (BNG) was made mandatory for most
development in England under the Environment Act 2021, taking full effect in
2024. The policy requires developers to demonstrate a net gain of at least 10
per cent in biodiversity value, assessed using a standardised metric, as a
condition of planning permission. Where gains cannot be achieved on-site,
developers may purchase biodiversity units from off-site habitat creation or
enhancement projects.
The principle behind BNG, that development should leave
nature in a better state than it found it, has a superficial plausibility. The
reality of its implementation illuminates the capture of environmental policy
with unusual clarity.
The biodiversity metric used to quantify gains and losses is
the Defra habitat metric, a formula that assigns numerical values to different
habitat types, multiplied by condition assessments and strategic significance
factors. The metric has been extensively criticised by ecologists for producing
results that bear little relationship to actual ecological value. Ancient
woodland, which is essentially irreplaceable on any human timescale, scores
poorly compared with newly created grassland, which can be created relatively
cheaply on agricultural land. The metric creates an incentive to destroy
high-value irreplaceable habitats and replace them with low-cost, low-value
“biodiverse” habitats that happen to score well.
The off-site biodiversity unit market that BNG has created
is, in economic terms, a new form of land rent. Agricultural land that can be
converted to habitat (typically rough grassland or woodland) generates income
from biodiversity unit sales. The price of biodiversity units in 2023 ranged
from approximately 15,000 to over 100,000 pounds per unit, depending on habitat
type and location. For landowners with suitable land, BNG represents a
substantial windfall: the right to extract rent from developers who have
degraded nature elsewhere, funded ultimately by house buyers and infrastructure
users.
The environmental effectiveness of this system is deeply
uncertain. The 30-year maintenance agreements required under BNG are
unenforceable in practice: the regulatory capacity to monitor hundreds of
thousands of hectares of habitat over three decades does not exist. The
habitats created are often of poor quality, rushed into being and have no
certain future.
What is certain is who benefits. Landowners with
agricultural land near areas of development pressure receive a new rent stream.
Land agents, consultants, and habitat bank operators earn substantial fees.
Financial investors, including major institutional funds, are accumulating
biodiversity credit portfolios as a new asset class. The Environment Bank, one
of the largest habitat bank operators, attracted investment from NatWest’s
venture capital arm. Large landowners, including estates and pension funds, have
been among the early accumulators of habitat bank sites.
The Rewilding Gentry: Large Landowners and Conservation
Rent
No analysis of the political economy of British
environmental policy can ignore the role of large landed estates. Britain has
one of the most unequal land distributions in the developed world:
approximately 0.36 per cent of the population owns approximately 50 per cent of
the rural land. This extraordinarily concentrated ownership is the direct
consequence of decisions made in the medieval period and never reversed: the
Norman land settlement, the enclosures, and the entail system that preserved
large estates through inheritance.
“In many ways, nature conservation has become just
another method of rent extraction by landowners who are trying to hide the fact
that modern farmers’ fields are essentially deserts, devoid of wildlife, and
the taxpayer must pay ‘rent’ if we want wild animals to occupy ‘their land’.”
Peter Smith
Large landed estates benefit from a range of public
subsidies and tax breaks that are rarely described as such. Under the Common
Agricultural Policy and its successor, the Basic Payment Scheme, land-based
payments went disproportionately to the largest landowners: the Duke of
Westminster’s agricultural holding received millions in annual subsidy. The
Countryside Stewardship scheme pays landowners for management practices that,
in many cases, represent a modest improvement on agricultural damage that the
same owners had been paid to cause under previous schemes.
The emerging environmental markets create new opportunities
for this class. An estate that has long since converted its ancient woodland to
shooting drives or its upland moorland to grouse management can, under
appropriate policy conditions, convert it back to semi-natural habitat, claim
biodiversity credits, sell carbon from the trees, and apply for
agri-environment payments for the whole. The land that was producing rent
through shooting or farming is now producing rent through conservation. The
landowner does not change. The public subsidy, in one form or another,
continues.
The rewilding movement, which advocates the restoration of
large-scale ecological processes including the reintroduction of apex
predators, is genuinely motivated by ecological science and represents a
serious attempt to address biodiversity loss at the landscape scale. But in its
popularised form, particularly as promoted by figures like George Monbiot and
the rewilding charity Rewilding Britain, it tends to focus on the ecological
aspiration without adequately addressing the question of land ownership.
When George Monbiot was setting up Rewilding Britain, he
called me, knowing my background in building successful rewilding charities. I
gave him one piece of advice above all others: build your base from the bottom
up. Fund it from the genuine aspirations of ordinary people who want to see
nature restored. Keep the landowners at arm’s length, because the moment they
are in the room with chequebooks, the mission bends toward their interests and
never bends back.
He did not take that advice. Landowners offered money, and
with it came trustees, influence, and the quiet, persistent pressure of people
whose wealth depends on land remaining cheap to own and expensive to reform.
The rewilding movement was captured before it found its feet. It became a
vehicle for channelling public money to the very class whose ownership patterns
are the primary obstacle to ecological restoration at scale, while carefully
avoiding the two things that would actually work: land reform and a Land Value
Tax. A properly applied Land Value Tax would do one hundred times more for
rewilding than a generation of subsidised habitat schemes. You will not hear
that said at a Rewilding Britain event. The trustees would not allow it.
Net Zero as a Finance Product
The corporate net-zero pledge has become ubiquitous since
the Paris Agreement of 2015. As of 2023, more than a third of the largest
companies globally had made net-zero commitments. The financial sector has
developed an extensive infrastructure to service these commitments: ESG ratings
agencies, climate risk consultancies, green bond standards,
sustainability-linked loan frameworks, transition finance taxonomies, and the
TCFD (Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures) reporting framework.
For ten years, I sat in boardrooms watching C-suite
executives compete with each other over net-zero targets, and I can tell you
with complete certainty what it was: theatre. Elaborate, expensive,
professionally enforced theatre. The targets were fantasy. The timelines were
fantasy. The PowerPoint decks were works of corporate fiction dressed in the
language of science, designed to produce a badge on the annual report and
silence anyone who pointed out that none of it would ever be delivered. To say
so out loud was to risk your career. So most of us did not say so out loud. We
endured the meetings, signed off on the strategies, and eventually, quietly,
voted with our feet, unwilling to let our professional reputations be buried
alongside the targets when the inevitable reckoning came. What strikes me now
is who bears the cost of that reckoning. Not the executives who built the
fantasy and were paid handsomely to maintain it. Never them.
I know this world from the inside. I have been the house
guest of billionaires promoting their latest green investment fund, brought in
to perform my environmental credentials in front of rooms full of investors
being sold the idea that paying a premium will somehow save the planet. The
performance was for the audience. The real conversation, the one conducted in
knowing looks and careful omissions, was about something else entirely: how to
extract maximum return from the gap between what people desperately want to
believe and what is actually happening to their money.
The environmental effectiveness of green bonds, ESG
standards, and green private equity funds is, to put it charitably, unproven.
Academic research on the environmental additionality of green bonds,
specifically whether they finance projects that would not otherwise have been
funded, consistently finds little or no evidence that green labels direct
capital to projects that are materially different from conventionally financed
ones. The green bond market takes existing infrastructure, attaches a green label,
and charges a premium for the label. The premium is more economic rent. The
environment is the excuse.
The IPCC’s assessment of pathways to 1.5 degrees of warming
consistently finds that achieving that target requires immediate, massive
reductions in fossil fuel production and use, not gradual transition
facilitated by financial instruments over several decades. The financial
sector’s preferred timeline (net zero by 2050, with extensive use of carbon
offsets, carbon capture, and hydrogen as bridging technologies) is incompatible
with the physics of the carbon budget. But it is highly compatible with the business
model of financial intermediaries who earn fees on each year of transition
activity.
Figure 4: Estimated Rents Generated by Environmental
Finance Instruments, UK c. 2023
Note: Rent extraction estimated as intermediary fees,
unearned land value uplift, and financial spread. Direct renewable energy
generation is ecologically beneficial, but the land rent component is pure
extraction.
PART FIVE
What Genuine Reform Would Look Like
The Failure of Progressive Politics and the Poverty of
Identity
The political left in Britain has spent the last four
decades gradually abandoning the analysis of class and economic power in favour
of an identity-based politics that is, for structural reasons explored
throughout this essay, highly susceptible to capture by the very interests it
claims to oppose. This is not an argument against identity politics as such;
the legal and social gains achieved by women, gay people, ethnic minorities,
and disabled people are real and valuable. It is an argument that identity politics,
in the absence of a serious analysis of economic power, tends to produce
diversity of representation within existing hierarchies rather than a challenge
to those hierarchies.
The capture of progressive movements by institutional actors
is not new. The trade unions of the early twentieth century were systematically
neutralised as institutions of working-class power and converted into
bureaucratic interest groups that negotiated the terms of labour’s
participation in a capitalist economy rather than challenging the basis of that
economy. The environmental movement of the 1970s, which contained significant
strands of radical critique of industrial growth itself, was converted by the
1990s into a technocratic lobbying operation focused on reforming existing
market structures rather than questioning them.
The Green New Deal, in its most radical forms, represented
an attempt to reconnect environmental politics with class politics, insisting
that the costs and benefits of the transition must be distributed fairly and
that the transition must be publicly directed rather than market-led. That
instinct was right. But it has been presented, deliberately and misleadingly,
as a binary choice between ruinous public spending and the status quo, when the
reality is far simpler and far more threatening to those who currently extract
rent from both the economy and the environment.
Extinguish rent seeking. Price environmental harm honestly.
Use the revenue those two things generate to protect the poorest from the costs
of transition. Do those three things and the Green New Deal pays for itself,
enhances the lives of everyone, and does not require a penny of additional
borrowing. The choice was never between public spending and the market. It was
between an economy that prices things honestly and one that allows a minority
to extract value from the majority while socialising the costs.
The versions that have actually been implemented, the US
Inflation Reduction Act, the UK’s various net zero strategies, have preserved
the market-led logic while layering large public subsidies on top of it,
subsidies directed primarily at private investors. This is not a compromise. It
is a theft from working people to benefit the investing class, dressed in the
language of climate action, and it has had zero measurable net effect on the
trajectory of emissions. The rent collectors found the Green New Deal. They are
very pleased with it too.
What the Environmental Crisis Actually Requires
The environmental crisis, comprising climate change and
biodiversity loss together, is a market failure because we need to price
environmental harm and withdraw the income from those that profit from that
harm, not try to divert it to a new asset-owning super class while protecting
the rents of existing landowners.
Addressing it requires, at a minimum, honest pricing. Tax
fossil fuels at their real cost to the climate and tax land at its full
unimproved value, and the market does the rest without subsidy or ceremony.
Fuel use becomes more efficient because waste becomes expensive. Land shifts
from the hands of those who simply own it to those who can farm it most
productively, because sitting on underused land becomes financially punishing.
Mixed farming, habitat restoration, and genuine ecological recovery become economically
rational rather than charitable gestures dependent on public grants. The
concentration of land ownership that makes all of this politically difficult
does not survive a properly applied Land Value Tax. And the public money
currently funnelled into tradeable environmental instruments can be redirected
to genuine, measurable habitat restoration under public oversight rather than
private profit, where land acquisition costs are a tiny fraction of what they
are now.
None of this is facilitated by carbon markets or
biodiversity net gain as currently designed. Carbon markets, in the absence of
a hard and declining cap that genuinely constrains total emissions, are a
mechanism for deferring action while extracting rent from poor workers to a
privileged elite. BNG, as currently implemented, is a mechanism for
legitimising the destruction of irreplaceable habitats while directing public
money to landowners who create biologically inferior substitutes.
The land question is central to both crises and to the
social questions addressed in the earlier parts of this essay. In a country
where half the rural land is owned by a tiny fraction of the population, where
urban land values have absorbed the majority of the productivity gains of the
past century, and where the political system is structurally responsive to the
interests of asset owners, no policy that requires a redistribution of land
value will be implemented without a fundamental shift in political power.
That shift has not occurred. It will not occur through the
existing mechanisms of progressive identity politics, corporate diversity
policy, or environmental finance. It would require a revival of the political
economy tradition of Ricardo, Mill, and George, which understands wealth
distribution as a political question about who owns what.
The Lower Classes: A Note on Continuity
Throughout this essay, the liberation movements of the
twentieth century have been assessed partly by asking who they liberated and
from what. A final note is required on the condition of those who have been
consistently absent from liberation discourse: the working poor.
The working class of Victorian Britain lived in conditions
of material deprivation that are difficult to comprehend from the vantage of
modern Britain. Child mortality was high; life expectancy at birth for a
labourer in Manchester in 1840 was seventeen years (accounting for infant
mortality; the average age of death was higher, but the figure conveys the
scale of the catastrophe). Housing was overcrowded, insanitary, and expensive
relative to wages. Working conditions were dangerous. The hours were long.
By the early twenty-first century, material conditions had
improved enormously. Life expectancy had more than doubled. Mass literacy was
achieved. Sanitation, heating, and basic security were no longer privileges.
That progress was real.
Which makes what is happening now all the more important to
understand. Average life expectancy is now falling. Housing quality is
deteriorating. Child poverty is rising. Public health is worsening. The public
services that took a century to build are decaying in front of us, not through
lack of wealth, but through the systematic redirection of wealth upward to the
rentier class.
This essay is a plea for clarity about why. The progressive
movement has been hijacked. Its language has been kept. Its economic substance
has been gutted. And in its hollowed-out form it now serves the interests of
the very class it was built to challenge. If that is not understood and
reversed, the deterioration will continue. And the elites who engineered it
will do what elites have always done when the consequences of their extraction
become politically dangerous: fund the demagogues, direct the anger downward,
and let the working class tear itself apart over the wrong questions. We are
already watching that happen. Trump, Farage, and their successors did not
emerge from nowhere. They were made possible by a progressive politics that
talked about identity and the environment, while the rent collectors took
everything else.
What has not changed is the fundamental dynamic identified
by Ricardo and George two centuries ago: as long as productive activity
generates a surplus and that surplus can be captured by the owners of scarce
land and monopoly positions, the tendency of market economies is towards the
concentration of wealth in the hands of those who produce least and the
immiseration of those who produce most.
Conclusion: Seeing the ‘cat’
This essay has argued a number of connected propositions.
Economic rent (unearned income from ownership of scarce resources, monopoly
positions, and financial instruments) has grown as a share of the British
economy over the past century, with a marked acceleration since the 1980s.
Democratic governments are structurally more responsive to the interests of
those who receive economic rent than to those who produce economic value.
Social and progressive movements, however genuine in their origins, tend to be captured
by rent-extracting interests when they achieve sufficient political salience,
because capture is cheaper than suppression and produces more durable political
outcomes that benefit those rentier economic interests.
The environmental movement has undergone an accelerated
version of this capture in the past two decades. The genuine scientific urgency
of climate change and biodiversity loss has been converted into a rationale for
the creation of new markets in environmental commodities, markets that generate
substantial rents for landowners, financial intermediaries, and consultancies
while providing minimal or negative benefits for the actual ecological problems
they claim to address.
Women’s liberation and gay rights achieved genuine legal and
social advances. But in the absence of a political economy that challenged the
ownership of land, capital, and monopoly, the economic surplus generated by the
expanded, more productive workforce that liberation enabled was captured by
rent-owners. The liberated are freer, but they are not richer; and in many
cases, particularly for working-class women and men of any orientation, the
collapse of the structures that once protected wages and made housing
affordable means that they are materially worse off than their parents.
The lower classes, those who have always worked, who never
had the luxury of being liberated from labour, and whose living standards have
always depended more on the price of rent, have received the smallest share of
the gains from a century of social change and have borne the largest share of
its costs.
What this essay has tried to demonstrate is simple, even if
everything conspiring against it is not. Social progress cannot be parcelled
into competing identity groups, each fighting for recognition within a system
that continues to extract from all of them. That is not progress. That is
management. Real progress means making the lives of everybody materially
better, which requires confronting who owns what and why, not curating which
faces appear at the top of an unchanged hierarchy.
There is one more argument threaded through this essay that
deserves to be stated plainly. Efficiency, real efficiency, not the corporate
euphemism for cutting services or the consultant’s word for redundancies, is at
the heart of every solution proposed here. Efficiency in how government spends
public money. Efficiency in how we use natural resources. Efficiency in how we
address the social problems that rent extraction creates and perpetuates.
Price land honestly and you get efficient land use. Price
carbon and pollution honestly and you get efficient use of natural resources.
Strip out the rent-seeking intermediaries that insert themselves between every
public service and the people it serves, and you get efficient government. The
beauty of honest pricing is that it does not require a vast bureaucracy to
enforce good behaviour. It simply makes waste expensive and productivity
rewarding, which is what a market is supposed to do before rent extraction
corrupts it.
But there is a harder truth beneath this. Rent seeking is
not only a class pathology. It is a human one. It lives in the landlord
extracting maximum rent from a desperate tenant, but it also lives in every
institution, every profession, and every individual that has learned to extract
more than they contribute and call it success. Eradicating it as a system
requires changing the incentives. Eradicating it as a culture requires
something more demanding: the honesty to recognise it in ourselves.
Class has become almost unspeakable in modern progressive
politics. That silence is not accidental. It serves those who benefit most from
the confusion. And Henry George, writing nearly a hundred and fifty years ago,
identified the substitution that is still being made today: charity, he wrote,
is false, futile, and poisonous when offered as a substitute for justice. The
same is true now. Identity politics is not justice. It is the appearance of
justice, deployed to prevent the real thing. United we stand. Divided, we are
managed. The rent collectors know which they prefer.
Select Bibliography and Further Reading
Classical & Modern Political Economy
The work of Fred Harrison - his bibliography forms the
basis of much of my work, published by Shepherd Walwyn: https://shepheardwalwyn.com/product-category/authors/fred-harrison/
Ricardo, David. On the Principles of Political Economy and
Taxation (1817). The foundational account of differential rent and its
relationship to wages and profits.
Mill, John Stuart. Principles of Political Economy (1848).
Extends Ricardian analysis; advocates land value taxation.
George, Henry. Progress and Poverty (1879). The most
thorough popular account of rent extraction and its social consequences;
proposes the land value tax.
Veblen, Thorstein. The Theory of the Leisure Class (1899)
and Absentee Ownership (1923). Analyses the cultural dimensions of rentier
class formation.
Land, Finance, and Economic Rent
Hudson, Michael. Killing the Host: How Financial Parasites
and Debt Bondage Destroy the Global Economy (2015). Comprehensive modern
account of financial rent extraction.
Ryan-Collins, Josh, Toby Lloyd, and Laurie Macfarlane.
Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing (2017). Essential account of the
relationship between land values, mortgage credit, and housing affordability.
Christophers, Brett. Our Lives in Their Portfolios: Why
Asset Managers Own the World (2023). Documents the rise of asset management as
a rent-extracting institution.
Social Movements and Political Economy
Ehrenreich, Barbara and Deirdre English. For Her Own Good:
Two Centuries of the Experts’s Advice to Women (1978). Critical account of the
relationship between professional ideology and the control of women.
Fraser, Nancy. The Old Is Dying and the New Cannot Be Born
(2019). Analyses the relationship between progressive neoliberalism and the
capture of left politics.
Davis, Angela. Women, Race and Class (1981). Foundational
account of the class and race dimensions of feminism.
Gilens, Martin and Benjamin Page. “Testing Theories of
American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens.” Perspectives
on Politics 12.3 (2014). The empirical demonstration that US policy reflects
elite preferences rather than median voter preferences.
Environmental Policy and Green Finance
Anderson, Kevin. “Duality in climate science.” Nature
Geoscience 8.12 (2015). The case that official climate scenarios systematically
understate required action.
Lohmann, Larry. “Carbon trading: a critical conversation on
climate change, privatisation and power.” Development Dialogue 48 (2006). Early
critical account of carbon market limitations.
West, Tara et al. “Action needed to make carbon offsets from
forest conservation work for climate change mitigation.” Science 381.6660
(2023). The study documenting the failure of voluntary forest carbon credits.
Sullivan, Sian. “Banking Nature? The Spectacular
Financialisation of Environmental Conservation.” Antipode 45.1 (2013). Critical
analysis of biodiversity markets.
Carver, Toby and Pete Smith. The Biodiversity Net Gain
Policy in England: Early Assessment of Outcomes (2024). Assessment of BNG
implementation and ecological effectiveness.
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